Land degradation in war and conflict regions

Land degradation in war and conflict regions

What happens to land under years of war and conflict? Satellite data and integrated modelling are helping to predict land degradation in war-torn regions of northern Lebanon.

Original Paper:
Mitri, George, Manal Nader, Irna Van der Molen, and Jonathan Lovett. 2014. Evaluating exposure to land degradation in association with repetitive armed conflicts in north Lebanon using multi-temporal satellite data. Environmental monitoring and assessment 186, (11): 7655-7672. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10661-014-3957-5

Lebanon, like much of the Middle East, has faced decades of repetitive war and armed conflict. Starting with the Lebanese civil war (1975-1990) to the occasional armed clashes in Tripoli (2008-2013), the effects of war on people are clear: mortality, injuries, displacement, and life in refugee camps. However, research on the effects of conflict on the environment has been fragmented and limited. Multiple studies in Lebanon have looked at land degradation issues caused by unregulated development and urbanization, illegal quarrying and deforestation, artificial coastline building by illegal sea filling activities, challenges with solid waste disposal, and freshwater supply. Further, research in the field has been limited by security issues, making the extent of these environmental impacts largely unknown. Satellite data is now providing the information needed to understand land degradation at a larger scale.

Using satellite imagery, a study published in Environmental monitoring and assessment evaluates the effects of armed conflicts on land degradation along the coastline of north Lebanon. To assess land degradation the study combines satellite imagery with biophysical and socio-economic data identifying eight key indicators:
 

Loss in vegetation cover; causing soil erosion

Artificialized coastline; affecting marine-coast ecology

Population density; leading to exploitation of land resources

Accessibility to agricultural land; abandoning inaccessible lands and urban migration

Damage to the landscape; direct impact on vegetation cover, soil and water resources

Distance to conflict center; greater damage to the environment in the conflict center

Fire-affected area; lack of management increasing the risk of severe and intense fires

Vegetation recovery; rate of vegetation regrowth

Using these indicators and the longterm monitoring of land cover change, the researchers compiled a new index called the composite land degradation index (CLDI). They divided the study site into cadastral units, using the index to score the units' exposure to land degradation on a scale from 0.0 to 3.0, corresponding to low and high exposure to degradation, respectively. By mapping the cadastral units and their calculated CLDI the study determines that land degradation is concentrated in proximity to armed conflicts. More than 50 percent of the cadastral units proved to have moderate exposure to land degradation and 15 percent had high exposure to land degradation. These units are concentrated in northern Lebanon, between Tripoli and the Syrian border, with a shorter distance to the centers of armed conflicts. The areas with low or no exposure to land degradation are concentrated in south of Tripoli with a relatively long distance to the centers of armed conflicts. 

Integrated modeling and mapping showed that the major drivers for land degradation in the areas with high or moderate CLDI are their close proximity to conflict areas, urban sprawl, increase in population density, and unplanned urban development in cities' peripheries. Data from field visits conducted in 2011 and 2012 were used to identify the causes of land cover changes and the current state of land in the study sites. Comparing the results of the model and the data from the field visits, the CLDI effectively reflected the consequences of repetitive armed conflicts on land degradation with 90 percent accuracy.

Wars and armed conflicts affect the land directly through physical damage or indirectly by changing peoples' everyday practices and their use of natural resources. Land degradation has long lasting effects on communities, such as soil erosion and contamination, making them increasingly vulnerable to further land degradation, as well as to socio-economic and political powers. Thus, understanding the complex biophysical and socio-economic interactions of land degradation exposure is a key for post-conflict recovery. This pilot study using CLDI and integrated modeling and mapping, has the potential to be transferred to other areas of armed conflicts and to provide valuable information for post-conflict recovery and policy decision-making.

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